Research
My dissertation, Essays in Methodology and Political Economy, develops two connected strands of research. Substantively, I study how labor market institutions and economic insecurity shape support for redistribution and political behavior. Methodologically, I develop statistical methods and research designs for settings in which observed data imperfectly measure theoretical quantities or provide no obvious counterfactual comparison. The papers below introduce these strands.
My work on coarsening-induced measurement error is developing into a series on reconstructing bracketed predictors, interpreting interactions, and comparing relationships across heterogeneous populations. The first paper develops a theoretical framework connecting the reconstruction of bracketed variables to measurement error and its implications for regression estimation and statistical inference.
Working paper, 2026
How can researchers study continuous quantities when surveys record only broad categories? This paper develops a theoretical framework linking the reconstruction of bracketed predictors to measurement error and regression inference. Motivated by questions about economic resources and political behavior, it combines formal analysis and Monte Carlo evaluation to inform the use of grouped data in social science. Draft available upon request.
Poster: View PDF
Working paper, 2026
Why do union members support redistribution when their own need for insurance is limited? I develop an account of risk-dependent altruism, extending the argument from the affordability of redistribution to workers’ expected insurance needs. Across twenty-six European countries, the adjusted membership difference in support is largest among workers at the lowest occupational unemployment risk.
Read the paper: open the PDF
Poster: View PDF
Working paper, 2026
When does choosing a child’s name become an act of political expression? Drawing on more than 28 million Turkish birth records, I investigate naming practices, political identification and repression. The paper combines a panel interrupted time-series design with comparisons among similar names to examine changes surrounding nationwide political shocks. This approach addresses the challenge of distinguishing political responses from broader cultural trends when no geographic comparison group is clearly unaffected.
Read the paper: open the PDF
Poster: View PDF
